This computational model suggests that Kentucky is likely to defeat Mississippi State.
The Kentucky Wildcats are gearing up to host a resilient Mississippi State basketball squad. While the Bulldogs from Mississippi State don’t excel offensively, ranking 165th in college basketball for points per game at 75.2, they compensate with a robust defensive performance, making it challenging for opponents to score, especially from beyond the arc. Additionally, the Bulldogs boast depth, with their bench contributing an impressive 32.44 points per game, ranking 13th in college basketball.
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According to ESPN’s matchup predictor, the Kentucky Wildcats are heavily favored to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with a 73.3% chance of winning. This predictor consistently shows high probabilities of victory for the Wildcats when they play at home, but their chances diminish on the road.
Coach Calipari has emphasized the team’s focus on improving their defense during practice, particularly in one-on-one situations. The Wildcats have struggled defensively this season, and Coach Calipari acknowledges the urgency to address this issue, as a subpar defensive performance could lead to an early exit from the NCAA Tournament. Facing Mississippi State, whose offensive prowess is not their strongest suit, provides an opportunity for Kentucky to refine their defensive skills, particularly in guarding individual players and providing support in defensive drives.
Given Mississippi State’s current standing at number 34 in the NET Rankings, this matchup is crucial for Kentucky, as a victory could bolster their position in Quad 1 territory.
