Done Deal: Leicester City Has Signed Rafael Leão Before Yesterday………………read more.
Leicester +0.75 could be a solid bet when they face Aston Villa, with odds at 1.89. This means the stake is split between +0.5 and +1.0 on the Asian Handicap, with experts confident that Leicester can put up a strong performance at home.
**Previous Encounter: Villa 2-1 Winners**
In their last match, Leicester City lost 2-1 to Fulham at Craven Cottage, where they had 45% possession and four shots on target, with Wout Faes scoring their only goal. Meanwhile, Aston Villa were defeated 2-0 by Arsenal at Villa Park, managing just 39% possession and three shots on goal. The last time these two teams met, Villa secured a 2-1 victory at King Power Stadium. Over the last 10 meetings, there have been two draws, four Leicester wins, and four victories for Villa.
**Leicester City’s Last 10 League Games**
Leicester have recorded 5 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw in their last 10 league games, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts per game. They have maintained 56.8% possession and earned 6.5 corners per match. Defensively, they’ve conceded 1.0 goals per game from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts, with opponents averaging 4.0 corners.
Jamie Vardy is their top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Abdul Fatawu with 3. Fatawu also leads in assists with 4.
**Aston Villa’s Last 10 League Games**
Villa’s last 10 league games have seen 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws. They average 10.6 attempts, 3.0 shots on goal, and 1.6 goals per game. Unai Emery’s team has an average possession of 45.6%, with 402.0 passes, 4.9 corners awarded, and 3.6 corners against. They’ve conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game from 6.0 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts.
Jhon Duran is Villa’s top scorer with 4 goals, while Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins each have 3. Youri Tielemans and Ollie Watkins have also provided 3 assists each, with Emiliano Martinez keeping 1 clean sheet in the last 10 games.
**Predicted Lineups:**
– **Leicester (predicted):** Mads Hermansen; James Justin, Jannik Vestergaard, Wout Faes, Victor Kristiansen; Harry Winks, Wilfred Ndidi; Abdul Fatawu, Facundo Buonanotte, Bobby Reid; Jamie Vardy.
– **Aston Villa (predicted):** Emiliano Martinez; Kosta Nedeljkovic, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne; Leon Bailey, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers; Ollie Watkins.
**Expert Analysis:**
Monitoring team news is crucial, especially for players with injury concerns. We also analyze form guides and statistical data to provide a comprehensive view.
**Key Stats:**
– Villa hasn’t covered the -0.75 line in 4 of their last 5 games.
– Villa hasn’t covered the -0.75 line in 7 of their last 10 games.
– Leicester has covered the +0.75 line in 6 of their last 10 games against Villa.
Given these stats, Leicester is expected to be competitive in this Premier League matchup. Backing the home team at 1.89 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 seems a promising bet.
**Leicester +0.75 Probability:**
The current betting odds suggest a 52.9% chance of winning, but we estimate the probability closer to 60%, which is why we recommend this wager.
